First, the county's acquisition of seed cotton status October 6, South County Dexing Xinyou ginning plant opened the acquisition, opened the prelude to the county seed cotton acquisition, the same day, the plant acquisition of more than 350 tons of seed cotton, the average price reached 4.23 Yuan, two days after the cotton market went down again, the plant slowed the progress of the acquisition. At present, the acquisition of seed cotton is less than 500 tons. A week later, the South County Huihua Company Mingshan ginning plant and the South County Nanzhouqiao Daxing ginning plant were successively weighed. produce. Up to now, the three ginning factories in the county have purchased about 1,500 tons of seed cotton, with the average price at around 4.15.
After October 21st, the market set off prices again and again. The listed price of each factory dropped to 4.00 yuan, and the five-level cotton dropped to 3.80 yuan. Even though the price of seed cotton has fallen sharply, processing companies are still cautious in operations and are afraid to let go of acquisitions. For seed cotton, the quality requirements are more stringent. The purpose is to control the acquisition progress and watch the market change. As a result, there has been a stalemate market in which fish are not diving. Processing companies, cotton traders and cotton farmers are waiting and watching.
Second, the acquisition of funds in place The county 400 tons of baler manufacturers only Huihua company Mingshan plant, Dexing company Xinyou ginning plant two got a total of not more than 50 million yuan acquisition **, this year's ** management is particularly strict Some of them require warehouse management, some require three-party supervision, and donations of RMB 5 million each have not been fully implemented since last month. Coupled with this company's own capital turnover difficulties, in place of the acquisition ** in order to fully enter the seed cotton acquisition process is also not realistic. How to issue the acquisition ** in the latter part of the Agricultural Development Bank is confusing and unpredictable.
The Daxing ginning factory of Nanzhou Bridge is a 200-ton baler factory. It is not qualified. Several shareholders raised nearly three million yuan to start the acquisition and started the acquisition. Currently, the main purchase method is to purchase seed cotton, which is unlikely to be large-scale. The risk of sourcing is self-evident.
Huage's Changguan ginner is a 400-type baler factory, but he did not apply to the policy issue of the Agricultural Development Bank. He has to be strong in both his own funds and the acquisition funds are slightly loose. The boss can be very cautious. At present, there are still no signs of major purchases, and there are less than 100 tons of seed cotton in the library. It is only the boss’s heart that the funds are not in place or waiting for the opportunity to wait.
After the ban on roller-coating mills, which had been banned for more than a year, went into power after last year, there was no official startup this year. In addition to market factors, I am afraid that there is a shortage of funds.
Third, the market conditions October 21st, Shandong Weiqiao textile companies will purchase raw cotton down the price of 500 yuan / ton, followed by a few days, the spot flow of cotton decreased, the price all the way down, cotton processing companies uneasy.
Unsettling is the cotton market. At this time, the cotton market was already hot at this time, but this year's cottonseeds were few and the price dropped from 1.50 yuan to 1.10 yuan. Grease processing companies do not move, wait and see the current situation changes. The cotton sub-market not only failed to provide support to the cotton market, but also dragged down the cotton market, making the upside weak.
With the downtrend in the spot market, the cold reserves have started to heat up. Cotton processing companies are seeing a loss and are turning their attention to deposits. Although the deposits are not high, and the requirements are too strict, the procedures are cumbersome, and the turnover is slow, compared with the plight of spot trading, it is still a frustration for processing companies.
The quality of the seed cotton currently acquired in this county is not good enough, and the mixing grade is serious. It will take time before the market for storage and storage is difficult to pull the seed cotton market. Now the Mingshan ginning factory has the qualifications for storage, but also has experience in sending and storage, but the current production of cotton can not reach the positive four; Daxing gin is a 200-type baler, is not eligible for delivery, and another with qualification The Xiaojiawan Xinyou ginning is still debugging equipment, there is no formal production, no experience in storage, it is impossible to immediately put into storage.
In light of these circumstances, the county seed cotton market is unlikely to enter an active climax in the near future. The acquisition of processing companies in the county does not require high-profile purchases, and it is still cautious.
IV. Farmers' sentiment Cotton farmers are currently unsteady. They are anxious to wait and see, and reluctant to sell more.
Last year, the price of seed cotton was put in place, and the cotton farmers got better returns, but the final pay was cotton processing enterprises. The cotton processing enterprises of the previous year were almost completely wiped out, especially the small roller processing plant was almost completely bankrupt. The scars have not healed yet. How dare to let go, so that this year's processing companies are cautious, not dare to close, dare not pick up the goods. Private small roller factories also have to do a good job of cotton. In these cases, cotton farmers do not care. They only know what prices have risen. Cotton should not rise and fall. Expectations for seed cotton prices are still very high. Now on seed cotton The purchase price of households fell from 4.20 yuan. 3.80 yuan, who do not want to accept, cotton farmers began to reluctant to sell.
V. Follow-up impact forecast The cotton trend in the latter stage will have a significant impact on the production of cotton for half a year. At present, there is a significant gap between the relative returns of cotton and rice, and the growth of cotton is not as good as that of grain. In addition, the intensity of support for national policies has become more important. With the dramatic increase in the mechanization of rice production, the cost of labor has fallen, and a large amount of artificial cotton production has been required to go up. The sharp increase in the labor price has made cotton more unprofitable. . In addition, the government’s investment in the renovation of water conservancy facilities and trench network channels will increase in the winter and spring, which will greatly stimulate the increase in rice area. Therefore, if the cotton price does not reach an ideal value, how much cotton can be planted next year is not guaranteed.
It is not difficult to predict that cottonseeds will hurt the farmers. The cotton production in the next two years will in turn show a vicious circle of unplanned growth from low prices to high prices and multi-price declines. Finally, cotton farmers will suffer. It is also very unfavorable to the entire cotton industry chain.
If the cotton market acts as capital speculation, the right to speak of the cotton price is still dominated by big countries, and the state does not play a regulatory role in the macro. This year's cotton industry will still be disorderly and disorderly. Apart from speculators, the entire process in the industry chain cannot be a winner. . This situation is not necessarily a happy event for a big textile country, and decision-makers should think about it.
6. Some suggestions suggest that the market rules are ruthless. Under the big market situation, cotton producers and cotton farmers must calmly face the changes in the market. Therefore it is recommended that:
First, the cotton processing enterprises should make full use of the state's policy of collecting and storing grain, and classify and process the seed cotton according to the requirements of sending and storage. The low-level cotton that cannot be sent to storage must be actively digested and promoted to reduce inventory pressure and accelerate capital turnover so as to ensure the maximization of cotton farmers' benefits.
Second, cotton farmers should understand the situation, accept market challenges, cooperate with acquisition and processing companies to do a good job of “five points,†do not use chemical fiber bagged cotton, improve cotton quality, and strive to meet the requirements of reserve cotton.
The third is to persuade farmers to reduce their expectations. After cotton prices stabilize, they must actively sell cotton. Seed cotton, which is not ready to be sold immediately, should be properly stored after being sun-turned to avoid rat bites and fire and mildew.
Fourth, the government functional departments must make a difference in the acquisition of funds to solve problems for cotton processing companies.
After October 21st, the market set off prices again and again. The listed price of each factory dropped to 4.00 yuan, and the five-level cotton dropped to 3.80 yuan. Even though the price of seed cotton has fallen sharply, processing companies are still cautious in operations and are afraid to let go of acquisitions. For seed cotton, the quality requirements are more stringent. The purpose is to control the acquisition progress and watch the market change. As a result, there has been a stalemate market in which fish are not diving. Processing companies, cotton traders and cotton farmers are waiting and watching.
Second, the acquisition of funds in place The county 400 tons of baler manufacturers only Huihua company Mingshan plant, Dexing company Xinyou ginning plant two got a total of not more than 50 million yuan acquisition **, this year's ** management is particularly strict Some of them require warehouse management, some require three-party supervision, and donations of RMB 5 million each have not been fully implemented since last month. Coupled with this company's own capital turnover difficulties, in place of the acquisition ** in order to fully enter the seed cotton acquisition process is also not realistic. How to issue the acquisition ** in the latter part of the Agricultural Development Bank is confusing and unpredictable.
The Daxing ginning factory of Nanzhou Bridge is a 200-ton baler factory. It is not qualified. Several shareholders raised nearly three million yuan to start the acquisition and started the acquisition. Currently, the main purchase method is to purchase seed cotton, which is unlikely to be large-scale. The risk of sourcing is self-evident.
Huage's Changguan ginner is a 400-type baler factory, but he did not apply to the policy issue of the Agricultural Development Bank. He has to be strong in both his own funds and the acquisition funds are slightly loose. The boss can be very cautious. At present, there are still no signs of major purchases, and there are less than 100 tons of seed cotton in the library. It is only the boss’s heart that the funds are not in place or waiting for the opportunity to wait.
After the ban on roller-coating mills, which had been banned for more than a year, went into power after last year, there was no official startup this year. In addition to market factors, I am afraid that there is a shortage of funds.
Third, the market conditions October 21st, Shandong Weiqiao textile companies will purchase raw cotton down the price of 500 yuan / ton, followed by a few days, the spot flow of cotton decreased, the price all the way down, cotton processing companies uneasy.
Unsettling is the cotton market. At this time, the cotton market was already hot at this time, but this year's cottonseeds were few and the price dropped from 1.50 yuan to 1.10 yuan. Grease processing companies do not move, wait and see the current situation changes. The cotton sub-market not only failed to provide support to the cotton market, but also dragged down the cotton market, making the upside weak.
With the downtrend in the spot market, the cold reserves have started to heat up. Cotton processing companies are seeing a loss and are turning their attention to deposits. Although the deposits are not high, and the requirements are too strict, the procedures are cumbersome, and the turnover is slow, compared with the plight of spot trading, it is still a frustration for processing companies.
The quality of the seed cotton currently acquired in this county is not good enough, and the mixing grade is serious. It will take time before the market for storage and storage is difficult to pull the seed cotton market. Now the Mingshan ginning factory has the qualifications for storage, but also has experience in sending and storage, but the current production of cotton can not reach the positive four; Daxing gin is a 200-type baler, is not eligible for delivery, and another with qualification The Xiaojiawan Xinyou ginning is still debugging equipment, there is no formal production, no experience in storage, it is impossible to immediately put into storage.
In light of these circumstances, the county seed cotton market is unlikely to enter an active climax in the near future. The acquisition of processing companies in the county does not require high-profile purchases, and it is still cautious.
IV. Farmers' sentiment Cotton farmers are currently unsteady. They are anxious to wait and see, and reluctant to sell more.
Last year, the price of seed cotton was put in place, and the cotton farmers got better returns, but the final pay was cotton processing enterprises. The cotton processing enterprises of the previous year were almost completely wiped out, especially the small roller processing plant was almost completely bankrupt. The scars have not healed yet. How dare to let go, so that this year's processing companies are cautious, not dare to close, dare not pick up the goods. Private small roller factories also have to do a good job of cotton. In these cases, cotton farmers do not care. They only know what prices have risen. Cotton should not rise and fall. Expectations for seed cotton prices are still very high. Now on seed cotton The purchase price of households fell from 4.20 yuan. 3.80 yuan, who do not want to accept, cotton farmers began to reluctant to sell.
V. Follow-up impact forecast The cotton trend in the latter stage will have a significant impact on the production of cotton for half a year. At present, there is a significant gap between the relative returns of cotton and rice, and the growth of cotton is not as good as that of grain. In addition, the intensity of support for national policies has become more important. With the dramatic increase in the mechanization of rice production, the cost of labor has fallen, and a large amount of artificial cotton production has been required to go up. The sharp increase in the labor price has made cotton more unprofitable. . In addition, the government’s investment in the renovation of water conservancy facilities and trench network channels will increase in the winter and spring, which will greatly stimulate the increase in rice area. Therefore, if the cotton price does not reach an ideal value, how much cotton can be planted next year is not guaranteed.
It is not difficult to predict that cottonseeds will hurt the farmers. The cotton production in the next two years will in turn show a vicious circle of unplanned growth from low prices to high prices and multi-price declines. Finally, cotton farmers will suffer. It is also very unfavorable to the entire cotton industry chain.
If the cotton market acts as capital speculation, the right to speak of the cotton price is still dominated by big countries, and the state does not play a regulatory role in the macro. This year's cotton industry will still be disorderly and disorderly. Apart from speculators, the entire process in the industry chain cannot be a winner. . This situation is not necessarily a happy event for a big textile country, and decision-makers should think about it.
6. Some suggestions suggest that the market rules are ruthless. Under the big market situation, cotton producers and cotton farmers must calmly face the changes in the market. Therefore it is recommended that:
First, the cotton processing enterprises should make full use of the state's policy of collecting and storing grain, and classify and process the seed cotton according to the requirements of sending and storage. The low-level cotton that cannot be sent to storage must be actively digested and promoted to reduce inventory pressure and accelerate capital turnover so as to ensure the maximization of cotton farmers' benefits.
Second, cotton farmers should understand the situation, accept market challenges, cooperate with acquisition and processing companies to do a good job of “five points,†do not use chemical fiber bagged cotton, improve cotton quality, and strive to meet the requirements of reserve cotton.
The third is to persuade farmers to reduce their expectations. After cotton prices stabilize, they must actively sell cotton. Seed cotton, which is not ready to be sold immediately, should be properly stored after being sun-turned to avoid rat bites and fire and mildew.
Fourth, the government functional departments must make a difference in the acquisition of funds to solve problems for cotton processing companies.
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